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Romania W vs Poland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest
Romania W Logo

Romania W

0 - 1
FT
Poland W Logo

Poland W

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Balaceanu I.
41'
Dudek P.
46'
Sub
Wos O. In: Krezyman N.
Out: Wos O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Poland W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Romania W
15%
Draws
0%
Poland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Romania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Poland W have won more games recently than Romania W.
  • Win probability leans Romania W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Poland W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Romania W Clean Sheet 20%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Romania W Poland W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Poland W vs Romania W
3:0
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Romania W vs Poland W
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 Euro Women
Poland W vs Romania W
4:1
Oct 25, 2024 Euro Women
Romania W vs Poland W
1:2
Nov 11, 2022 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Romania W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Romania W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Poland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Romania W 85 / 100
Poland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Romania W Poland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romania W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Romania W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Poland W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Poland W conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Romania W VS Poland W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Romania W

(Home)
05 Jun
Moldova W
0 : 0
Romania W
18 Apr
Romania W
3 : 0
Cyprus W
07 Mar
Cyprus W
0 : 4
Romania W
03 Mar
Romania W
1 : 0
Moldova W
02 Dec
Romania W
2 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 6

Poland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)