Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rondonopolis EC vs Operario VG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2016
Sat, Feb 27, 2016
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rondonopolis EC host Operario VG in the Campeonato Matogrossense 2016. Little to choose between these two on current form. Operario VG have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Rondonopolis EC have conceded 1.05 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor Rondonopolis EC slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2016, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.18) back Rondonopolis EC to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rondonopolis EC
35%
Draws
26%
Operario VG
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rondonopolis EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rondonopolis EC at 1.6 per game, Operario VG at 0.83.
  • Win probability leans Rondonopolis EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 20%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rondonopolis EC Operario VG
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.6 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Operario VG
0:0
Feb 13, 2016 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rondonopolis EC 85 / 100
Operario VG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rondonopolis EC Operario VG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario VG has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Rondonopolis EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Operario VG registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Rondonopolis EC found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (20 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario VG
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rondonopolis EC

(Home)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Operario VG

(Away)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luverdense 10 5 3 2 20:9 18
2 Sinop FC 10 5 3 2 13:4 18
3 Várzea Grande EC 10 4 3 3 13:17 15
4 Cacerense 10 3 4 3 15:17 13
5 Mixto 10 2 4 4 16:21 10
6 Pocone 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 8 5 2 1 19:1 17
2 Dom Bosco 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
3 Araguaia 8 4 2 2 9:8 14
4 Uniao EC 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
5 Operario VG 8 0 1 7 3:25 1
6 Rondonopolis EC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2016 (Second stage)