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RoPS Rovaniemi vs AC Kajaani

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Wed, Mar 25, 2020
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RoPS Rovaniemi play AC Kajaani in the Club Friendly 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, RoPS Rovaniemi averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. AC Kajaani averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, RoPS Rovaniemi won 2, AC Kajaani won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 6, 2020 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for RoPS Rovaniemi and 0.94 for AC Kajaani. This points to a RoPS Rovaniemi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
RoPS Rovaniemi
34%
Draws
23%
AC Kajaani
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: RoPS Rovaniemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • RoPS Rovaniemi picked up more points recently compared to AC Kajaani.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 24%
AC Kajaani Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RoPS Rovaniemi AC Kajaani
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.68

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2020 Club Friendly
RoPS Rovaniemi vs AC Kajaani
3:1
Mar 25, 2020 Club Friendly
RoPS Rovaniemi vs AC Kajaani
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 Club Friendly
AC Kajaani vs RoPS Rovaniemi
0:0
Feb 17, 2018 Suomen Cup
RoPS Rovaniemi vs AC Kajaani
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RoPS Rovaniemi 44 / 100
AC Kajaani 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RoPS Rovaniemi AC Kajaani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RoPS Rovaniemi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

RoPS Rovaniemi attacking → ← attacking AC Kajaani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RoPS Rovaniemi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

AC Kajaani let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

RoPS Rovaniemi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

AC Kajaani lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 30
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00