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Rosariense vs Academica do Mindelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2022
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Academica do Mindelo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rosariense
35%
Draws
32%
Academica do Mindelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Academica do Mindelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Academica do Mindelo taking it.
  • Academica do Mindelo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Academica do Mindelo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 11%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosariense Academica do Mindelo
Matches Played 18 24
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.28 2
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Academica do Mindelo
0:4
Jun 25, 2022 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Rosariense
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosariense 14 / 100
Academica do Mindelo 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosariense Academica do Mindelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Rosariense's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Academica do Mindelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Rosariense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosariense VS Academica do Mindelo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosariense

(Home)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
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Academica do Mindelo

(Away)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rosariense 2
Academica do Mindelo 6
Palmeira 1
Botafogo 0
Final
Academica do Mindelo 1
Palmeira 0