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Rosariense vs Juventude

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Silva E.
85' Event
Silva A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Rosariense
35%
Draws
28%
Juventude
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rosariense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Rosariense have won more games recently than Juventude.
  • Win probability leans Rosariense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rosariense Clean Sheet 19%
Juventude Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosariense Juventude
Matches Played 18 12
Wins 7 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Rosariense vs Juventude
1:1
May 18, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Juventude vs Rosariense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosariense Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosariense 40 / 100
Juventude 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosariense Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosariense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rosariense scored in 78% of their last 18 outings.

Juventude let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Rosariense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosariense VS Juventude
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosariense

(Home)
15 Jun
Rosariense
1 : 0
Academico do Sal
09 Jun
Academica do Fogo
3 : 1
Rosariense
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
12 May
Rosariense
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
Page 1 of 4

Juventude

(Away)
15 Jun
Juventude
0 : 0
Academica do Fogo
08 Jun
Academico do Sal
0 : 2
Juventude
26 May
Rosariense
1 : 1
Juventude
18 May
Juventude
1 : 2
Rosariense
11 May
Juventude
3 : 3
Academico do Sal
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Academica do Fogo 6 2 2 2 11:6 8
3 Rosariense 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Juventude 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Morabeza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
3 Barreirense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 FC Derby 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Ultramarina 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
4 Sanjoanenses 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams