Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario

Rosario Central

0 - 0

Independiente del Valle

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Gonzalez C.

57'

Sub

Pata E. In: Guagua D.

Out: Pata E.

57'

Sub

Lerma J. In: Briones R.

Out: Lerma J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Rosario Central

20%

Draws

40%

Independiente del Valle

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Rosario Central.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Independiente del Valle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%

Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rosario Central	Independiente del Valle
Matches Played	28	33
Wins	15	26
Draws	6	3
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	1.29	2.36
Goals Conceded	0.86	0.97
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Independiente del Valle vs Rosario Central

1:0

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Rosario Central vs Independiente del Valle

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 41 / 100

Independiente del Valle 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rosario Central Independiente del Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rosario Central scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Rosario Central remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Independiente del Valle conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Independiente del Valle

1.13 Goals Scored 2

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)

26 Sept

Estudiantes L.P.

1 : 3

Rosario Central

20 Sept

Rosario Central

1 : 0

Argentinos Jrs

13 Sept

Tigre

0 : 1

Rosario Central

06 Sept

Rosario Central

1 : 1

Newells Old Boys

29 Aug

Rosario Central

1 : 2

Gimnasia L.P.

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Independiente del Valle

(Away)

25 Sept

Gualaceo

0 : 2

Independiente del Valle

18 Sept

Flamengo RJ

1 : 1

Independiente del Valle

13 Sept

Libertad

2 : 3

Independiente del Valle

11 Sept

Independiente del Valle

0 : 2

Flamengo RJ

05 Sept

Independiente del Valle

3 : 1

Macara

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