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Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Rosario Central Logo

Rosario Central

1 - 1
FT
Newells Old Boys Logo

Newells Old Boys

Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Ibarra F.
6'
Escobar F.
24'
Coccaro M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Rosario Central and Newells Old Boys finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rosario Central
35%
Draws
25%
Newells Old Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rosario Central carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rosario Central are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rosario Central have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosario Central Newells Old Boys
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.28 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Avila G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Coccaro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosario Central 59 / 100
Newells Old Boys 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosario Central Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Rosario Central remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rosario Central found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Newells Old Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rosario Central VS Newells Old Boys
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosario Central

(Home)
06 Oct
Banfield
1 : 1
Rosario Central
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys

(Away)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
3 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
4 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)