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Stadium Background

Rosenborg U19 vs Molde U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Thu, Oct 2, 2025
3 - 4
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Soboczynski M.
29' Event
Dyvik H.
35' Event
Aleksandersen S.

AI Match Summary

Molde U19 in this Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Rosenborg U19
15%
Draws
36%
Molde U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosenborg U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosenborg U19 have won more games recently than Molde U19.
  • Model gives Rosenborg U19 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Rosenborg U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Molde U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Rosenborg U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Molde U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg U19 Molde U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.87 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Rosenborg U19 vs Molde U19
5:2
Jul 30, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Molde U19 vs Rosenborg U19
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Molde U19 vs Rosenborg U19
7:2
Oct 2, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Rosenborg U19 vs Molde U19
3:4
Sep 24, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Molde U19 vs Rosenborg U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosenborg U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soboczynski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylte M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Molde U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyvik H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aleksandersen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg U19 83 / 100
Molde U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg U19 Molde U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rosenborg U19 scored in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Molde U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rosenborg U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg U19 VS Molde U19
3.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg U19

(Home)
27 Aug
Ham-Kam U19
0 : 3
Rosenborg U19
20 Aug
Rosenborg U19
6 : 1
Ham-Kam U19
06 Aug
Rosenborg U19
5 : 2
Molde U19
30 Jul
Molde U19
0 : 1
Rosenborg U19
21 Mar
Molde U19
7 : 2
Rosenborg U19
Page 1 of 7

Molde U19

(Away)
06 Aug
Rosenborg U19
5 : 2
Molde U19
30 Jul
Molde U19
0 : 1
Rosenborg U19
29 Apr
Molde U19
3 : 2
Moss U19
21 Mar
Molde U19
7 : 2
Rosenborg U19
15 Mar
Kongsvinger U19
1 : 3
Molde U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Stromsgodset U19 5
Molde U19 6
Rosenborg U19 3
Start U19 1
Bodo/Glimt U19 1
Sogndal U19 2
Viking U19 7
Ham-Kam U19 4
Semi-finals
Molde U19 4
Rosenborg U19 3
Sogndal U19 0
Viking U19 5
Final
Molde U19 4
Viking U19 3