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Rosenborg vs Sandefjord - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rosenborg host Sandefjord in the Eliteserien. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Rosenborg at 2.21 goals for, 1.5 against; Sandefjord at 1.75 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Rosenborg have won 2 to Sandefjord's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 2.25, favoring Rosenborg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Rosenborg
20%
Draws
28%
Sandefjord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Rosenborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Rosenborg taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 10%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosenborg Sandefjord
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Rosenborg
0:1
Apr 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosenborg 83 / 100
Sandefjord 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosenborg Sandefjord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosenborg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Rosenborg's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Sandefjord let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rosenborg VS Sandefjord
3.75 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosenborg

(Home)
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
05 Sept
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 6

Sandefjord

(Away)
30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1
Sandefjord
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)