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Rosengard vs Jonkoping - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Rosengårds Södra IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hakansson O.
29' Event
Andersson M.
Assist: Onotu E.
31' Event
Hellstrom C.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Rosengard and Jonkoping finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rosengard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Rosengard
20%
Draws
51%
Jonkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jonkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rosengard come out ahead of Jonkoping on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rosengard Clean Sheet 19%
Jonkoping Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosengard Jonkoping
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Rosengard
0:0
Aug 2, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs Jonkoping
4:2
Aug 2, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs Jonkoping
0:1
May 17, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Jonkoping vs Rosengard
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs Jonkoping
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosengard Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakansson O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jonkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Hellstrom C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarbring K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosengard 36 / 100
Jonkoping 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosengard Jonkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jonkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosengard scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Jonkoping has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Rosengard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosengard VS Jonkoping
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosengard

(Home)
03 Oct
Angelholm
3 : 0
Rosengard
26 Sept
Rosengard
2 : 1
Hassleholms IF
20 Sept
Olympic
1 : 1
Rosengard
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4
Trelleborg
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
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Jonkoping

(Away)
03 Oct
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Eskilsminne
26 Sept
Utsikten
3 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
16 Sept
Jonkoping
1 : 0
Atvidaberg
13 Sept
Kristianstad
0 : 0
Jonkoping
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 25 16 6 3 55:28 54
2 Atvidaberg 25 13 7 5 49:35 46
3 Hassleholms IF 25 14 3 8 46:30 45
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Trollhattan 25 10 8 7 42:37 38
7 Rosengard 25 10 8 7 41:37 38
8 Jonkoping 25 9 6 10 29:26 33
9 Tvaaker 25 9 6 10 33:39 33
10 Skovde 25 8 9 8 31:38 33
11 Eskilsminne 25 9 5 11 40:44 32
12 Olympic 25 9 3 13 41:48 30
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 25 4 9 12 31:47 21
16 Utsikten 25 2 6 17 23:60 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)