Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rosengard vs Tvaaker

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Rosengårds Södra IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ajdarevic A.
29'
Graudums T.
55'
Sjoland M.

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Rosengard
35%
Draws
38%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tvaaker

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tvaaker have won more games recently than Rosengard.
  • Model gives Rosengard a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rosengard Clean Sheet 16%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rosengard Tvaaker
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.54 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs Tvaaker
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Rosengard
1:2
May 4, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Rosengard vs Tvaaker
0:1
Sep 29, 2012 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Rosengard vs Tvaaker
2:2
Apr 28, 2012 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Tvaaker vs Rosengard
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rosengard Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajdarevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rosengard 36 / 100
Tvaaker 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rosengard Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosengard scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Tvaaker let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Rosengard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rosengard VS Tvaaker
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rosengard

(Home)
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
04 Sept
Rosengard
4 : 2
Laholms
29 Aug
Rosengard
3 : 2
Trollhattan
22 Aug
Jonkoping
0 : 0
Rosengard
16 Aug
Rosengard
1 : 1
Utsikten
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
06 Sept
Jonkoping
0 : 1
Tvaaker
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
22 Aug
Olympic
3 : 4
Tvaaker
15 Aug
Kristianstad
1 : 2
Tvaaker
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 22 13 6 3 48:27 45
2 Hassleholms IF 22 13 3 6 43:26 42
3 Lunds Bois 22 11 8 3 46:26 41
4 Atvidaberg 22 11 6 5 45:33 39
5 Rosengard 22 9 7 6 38:32 34
6 Tvaaker 22 9 6 7 30:32 33
7 AFC Malmo 22 8 8 6 39:33 32
8 Trollhattan 22 8 7 7 36:34 31
9 Jonkoping 22 8 6 8 26:20 30
10 Olympic 22 9 2 11 39:43 29
11 Eskilsminne 22 8 4 10 36:40 28
12 Skovde 22 6 9 7 24:32 27
13 Laholms 22 6 4 12 28:38 22
14 Kristianstad 22 5 6 11 25:34 21
15 Angelholm 22 3 8 11 25:41 17
16 Utsikten 22 1 6 15 17:54 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)