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Roskilde vs Naestved IF

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division 2025/2026
Roskilde Logo

Roskilde

0 - 1
FT
Naestved IF Logo

Naestved IF

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Elmelund T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naestved IF in this 2nd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naestved IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Roskilde
35%
Draws
25%
Naestved IF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roskilde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Roskilde average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of Naestved IF's 1.39.
  • Roskilde are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Roskilde Clean Sheet 20%
Naestved IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roskilde Naestved IF
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Naestved IF
2:2
May 16, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Naestved IF
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Roskilde
0:0
Apr 2, 2026 2nd Division
Roskilde vs Naestved IF
2:3
Aug 1, 2025 2nd Division
Naestved IF vs Roskilde
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roskilde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Naestved IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmelund T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roskilde 67 / 100
Naestved IF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roskilde Naestved IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roskilde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Roskilde scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Roskilde went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Naestved IF has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Roskilde VS Naestved IF
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Roskilde

(Home)
04 Oct
Thisted FC
0 : 2
Roskilde
25 Sept
Hellerup
1 : 1
Roskilde
18 Sept
Roskilde
5 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
13 Sept
Brabrand
1 : 1
Roskilde
09 Sept
BK Frem
1 : 2
Roskilde
Page 1 of 6

Naestved IF

(Away)
02 Oct
Naestved IF
1 : 1
Nykobing
27 Sept
Naestved IF
2 : 2
Middelfart
18 Sept
Fremad Amager
1 : 1
Naestved IF
13 Sept
Naestved IF
3 : 1
Thisted FC
04 Sept
Boldklubben 1893
1 : 1
Naestved IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AB Copenhagen 32 23 2 7 81:34 71
2 Vendsyssel FF 32 20 3 9 57:37 63
3 Naestved IF 32 16 6 10 46:42 54
4 Roskilde 32 14 7 11 51:38 49
5 Thisted FC 32 14 6 12 40:33 48
6 Hellerup 32 12 2 18 39:68 38
Promotion - 1st Division (Main)