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Roslyn Wakari vs Waterside Karori

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Waterside Karori in this Chatham Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Roslyn Wakari
33%
Draws
40%
Waterside Karori
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Waterside Karori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Roslyn Wakari haven't matched Waterside Karori's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Waterside Karori taking it.
  • Waterside Karori arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Waterside Karori, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Roslyn Wakari Clean Sheet 10%
Waterside Karori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roslyn Wakari Waterside Karori
Matches Played 3 4
Wins 1 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 2.67 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.67 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Chatham Cup
Roslyn Wakari vs Waterside Karori
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roslyn Wakari 26 / 100
Waterside Karori 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roslyn Wakari Waterside Karori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roslyn Wakari's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Waterside Karori let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Solid form: Roslyn Wakari remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Roslyn Wakari VS Waterside Karori
2.67 Goals Scored 2.25
3.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Roslyn Wakari

(Home)
29 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 5
Waterside Karori
08 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
4 : 3
Wanaka FC
07 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 3
Caversham

Waterside Karori

(Away)
19 Aug
Melville
3 : 1
Waterside Karori
29 Jul
Roslyn Wakari
2 : 5
Waterside Karori
09 Jul
Napier City
0 : 3
Waterside Karori
11 Jul
Western Suburbs
2 : 0
Waterside Karori

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC0
Melville2
Western Springs3
Auckland City2
Roslyn Wakari4
Wanaka FC3
Napier City0
Waterside Karori3
Hamilton3
Ngaruawahia AFC2
Cashmere Technical0
Christchurch3
Petone0
Wellington Olympic5
Birkenhead1
Eastern Suburbs2
Quarter-finals
Melville1
Western Springs0
Roslyn Wakari2
Waterside Karori5
Hamilton0
Christchurch3
Wellington Olympic2
Eastern Suburbs3
Semi-finals
Melville3
Waterside Karori1
Christchurch2
Eastern Suburbs1
Final
Melville2
Christchurch3