Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ross County vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship 2025/2026 Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Duncan R.
28'
Randall C.
39'
McMann S.

AI Match Summary

Ross County in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ross County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ross County
15%
Draws
34%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ayr haven't matched Ross County's recent run of results.
  • Ross County are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ross County Clean Sheet 68%
Ayr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ross County Ayr
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Championship
Ross County vs Ayr
2:1
Feb 21, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Ross County
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Championship
Ross County vs Ayr
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Ross County
1:1
Jan 18, 2020 Scottish Cup
Ayr vs Ross County
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ross County Compare

Top Goalscorer Duncan R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iacovitti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowds A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ross County 50 / 100
Ayr 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ross County Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ross County remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ross County's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ayr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ross County VS Ayr
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ross County

(Home)
15 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 2
Ross County
11 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 2
Ross County
08 Aug
Ross County
2 : 1
Montrose
01 Aug
Peterhead
0 : 1
Ross County
25 Jul
Airdrieonians
0 : 3
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Ayr

(Away)
14 Aug
Kilmarnock
3 : 2
Ayr
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Johnstone 36 22 11 3 67:25 77
2 Partick 36 17 15 4 53:36 66
3 Arbroath 36 13 13 10 43:41 52
4 Dunfermline 36 14 9 13 52:41 51
5 Raith 36 12 9 15 43:42 45
6 Queen's Park 36 9 14 13 35:48 41
7 Ayr 36 8 15 13 38:47 39
8 Morton 36 8 14 14 36:52 38
9 Airdrieonians 36 8 12 16 35:49 36
10 Ross County 36 8 10 18 36:57 34
Promotion - Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - League One (Main)