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Ross County vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Ross County at 3.39 goals for, 1.04 against; Forfar Athletic at 1.22 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor Ross County slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 10, 2021, ending 3:0. The numbers (3.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Ross County. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Ross County
15%
Draws
32%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic haven't matched Ross County's recent run of results.
  • Ross County are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ross County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ross County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ross County here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ross County Clean Sheet 20%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ross County Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 22 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 3.39 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2021 League Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Ross County
3:0
Jul 24, 2019 League Cup
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic
2:0
Sep 4, 2010 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Ross County
0:2
Jan 7, 2006 Scottish Cup
Ross County vs Forfar Athletic
5:0
Aug 9, 2005 League Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Ross County
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ross County 85 / 100
Forfar Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ross County Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ross County's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Ross County stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Forfar Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ross County VS Forfar Athletic
4.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ross County

(Home)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Clachnacuddin
1 : 5
Ross County
19 Sept
Cove Rangers
0 : 2
Ross County
15 Sept
Ross County
8 : 0
Queen of the South
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)