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Ross County vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Sub
Strapp L. In: Reid J.
Out: Strapp L.
31' Event
Smith D.
Assist: Phillips K.
38' Event
McKinstry S.
Assist: Ryan A.

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Ross County and Hamilton finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ross County
30%
Draws
32%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ross County come out ahead of Hamilton on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ross County's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ross County Clean Sheet 18%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ross County Hamilton
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 23 19
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 3.54 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 League One
Ross County vs Hamilton
1:1
Jul 23, 2024 League Cup
Hamilton vs Ross County
1:2
Jan 21, 2023 Scottish Cup
Hamilton vs Ross County
1:0
May 12, 2021 Premiership
Ross County vs Hamilton
2:1
Feb 3, 2021 Premiership
Hamilton vs Ross County
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ross County Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer McKinstry S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ross County 85 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ross County Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ross County scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Ross County remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Hamilton conceded in 48% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ross County VS Hamilton
4.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ross County

(Home)
03 Nov
Ross County
2 : 0
Celtic B
31 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 2
Ross County
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Ross County
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
17 Oct
Queen of the South
1 : 7
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Hamilton

(Away)
03 Nov
Hamilton
2 : 1
Raith
31 Oct
Hamilton
1 : 1
Montrose
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
East Fife
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 13 11 2 0 45:8 35
2 Hamilton 13 10 3 0 27:6 33
3 Montrose 13 6 2 5 18:21 20
4 East Kilbride 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
5 Peterhead 13 4 1 8 11:21 13
6 Airdrieonians 13 3 4 6 10:20 13
7 Queen of the South 13 4 1 8 13:36 13
8 Alloa 13 3 3 7 13:16 12
9 East Fife 13 2 6 5 11:16 12
10 Cove Rangers 12 2 3 7 10:18 9
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)