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Ross County vs Stenhousemuir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Challenge Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Stenhousemuir have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Ross County have conceded 0.93 and scored 3.43. Past meetings favor Ross County slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2012, ending 7:0. xG projections (3.31 - 0.76) back Ross County to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ross County
20%
Draws
19%
Stenhousemuir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ross County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ross County carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ross County are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ross County have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ross County, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ross County Clean Sheet 20%
Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ross County Stenhousemuir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 3.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2012 Scottish Cup
Ross County vs Stenhousemuir
7:0
May 5, 2000 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Ross County
2:2
Mar 27, 2000 League One
Ross County vs Stenhousemuir
2:0
Mar 20, 2000 League One
Stenhousemuir vs Ross County
0:2
Aug 20, 1999 League One
Ross County vs Stenhousemuir
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ross County 85 / 100
Stenhousemuir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ross County Stenhousemuir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ross County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ross County's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ross County has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Stenhousemuir's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ross County VS Stenhousemuir
5.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ross County

(Home)
03 Nov
Ross County
2 : 0
Celtic B
31 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 2
Ross County
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Ross County
4 : 0
Airdrieonians
17 Oct
Queen of the South
1 : 7
Ross County
Page 1 of 6

Stenhousemuir

(Away)
03 Nov
Stenhousemuir
4 : 1
Berwick
30 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 3
Livingston
27 Oct
Stenhousemuir
0 : 1
Dunfermline
24 Oct
Partick
3 : 0
Stenhousemuir
17 Oct
Stenhousemuir
1 : 1
Raith
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Spartans 0
Livingston 2
St. Mirren B 1
Peterhead 2
Hamilton 2
Raith 1
Formartine Utd 0
Cove Rangers 2
East Kilbride 7
Stirling 3
Edinburgh City 0
Partick 3
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Dunfermline 4
Morton 0
Kelty Hearts 1
Ross County 2
Celtic B 0
Stenhousemuir 4
Berwick 1
Arbroath 1
Queen of the South 0
Airdrieonians 5
Elgin City 0
Annan 0
Ayr 2
Inverness 1
Montrose 0
Clydebank FC 1
Alloa 0
Aberdeen B 1
Queen's Park 2
1/8-finals
Livingston -
Peterhead -
Hamilton -
Cove Rangers -
East Kilbride -
Partick -
Dunfermline -
Kelty Hearts -
Ross County -
Stenhousemuir -
Arbroath -
Airdrieonians -
Ayr -
Inverness -
Clydebank FC -
Queen's Park -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -