Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham

Rotherham

3 - 2

Oldham

Our Tip

Match Events

Hannant L.

27'

Sub

Conlon T. In: Morris K.

Out: Conlon T.

36'

Ogle R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Rotherham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Rotherham

22%

Draws

18%

Oldham

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Rotherham haven't matched Oldham's recent run of results.
60% — that's where the model lands on Rotherham taking it.
Oldham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Rotherham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Rotherham Clean Sheet 18%

Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rotherham	Oldham
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	7	5
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Oldham

3:2

Jan 13, 2018 League One

Oldham vs Rotherham

1:1

Sep 23, 2017 League One

Rotherham vs Oldham

5:1

Mar 11, 2014 League One

Oldham vs Rotherham

0:2

Sep 14, 2013 League One

Rotherham vs Oldham

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Spence K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader James R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hannant L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ogle R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 58 / 100

Oldham 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rotherham Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Oldham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Rotherham went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Oldham's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Oldham

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)

28 Jul

Darlington FC

0 : 2

Rotherham

25 Jul

Rotherham

0 : 2

Sheffield Utd

21 Jul

Alfreton

0 : 1

Rotherham

18 Jul

Matlock

1 : 1

Rotherham

14 Jul

AFC Emley

1 : 1

Rotherham

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Oldham

(Away)

28 Jul

Oldham

0 : 1

Stockport County

24 Jul

Huddersfield

3 : 1

Oldham

21 Jul

Oldham

1 : 3

Bolton

02 May

Oldham

3 : 0

Accrington

25 Apr

Newport

3 : 2

Oldham

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