Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham

Rotherham

3 - 2

Oldham

Our Tip

Match Events

Hannant L.

27'

Sub

Conlon T. In: Morris K.

Out: Conlon T.

36'

Ogle R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Rotherham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Rotherham

30%

Draws

23%

Oldham

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Rotherham haven't matched Oldham's recent run of results.
47% — that's where the model lands on Rotherham taking it.
Oldham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Rotherham, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Rotherham have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Rotherham Clean Sheet 17%

Oldham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rotherham	Oldham
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	6	12
Draws	10	3
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	0.93	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.54	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Rotherham vs Oldham

3:2

Jan 13, 2018 League One

Oldham vs Rotherham

1:1

Sep 23, 2017 League One

Rotherham vs Oldham

5:1

Mar 11, 2014 League One

Oldham vs Rotherham

0:2

Sep 14, 2013 League One

Rotherham vs Oldham

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Spence K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader James R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hannant L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ogle R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 66 / 100

Oldham 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rotherham Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotherham Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Rotherham's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Oldham let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Rotherham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Oldham

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)

19 Sept

Northampton

0 : 1

Rotherham

12 Sept

Rotherham

3 : 3

Salford

05 Sept

Bristol Rovers

1 : 0

Rotherham

01 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 2

Rotherham

29 Aug

Rotherham

2 : 1

Chesterfield

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Oldham

(Away)

19 Sept

Rochdale

2 : 0

Oldham

12 Sept

Oldham

1 : 2

Chesterfield

05 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 0

Oldham

01 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 1

Oldham

29 Aug

Oldham

3 : 0

Swindon

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