Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotherham vs Stevenage

England England

League One 2025/2026 Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Phillips D.
16'
Sub
James-Wildin L. In: Pattenden J.
Out: James-Wildin L.
45'
Freestone L.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Rotherham and Stevenage finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Rotherham
6%
Draws
4%
Stevenage
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rotherham haven't matched Stevenage's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rotherham a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 68%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham Stevenage
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 League One
Rotherham vs Stevenage
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Rotherham
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 League One
Stevenage vs Rotherham
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Rotherham vs Stevenage
2:0
Feb 15, 2014 League One
Rotherham vs Stevenage
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 95 / 100
Stevenage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham Stevenage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Rotherham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Stevenage's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rotherham scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS Stevenage
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2
Rotherham
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1
Rotherham
18 Jul
Matlock
1 : 1
Rotherham
14 Jul
AFC Emley
1 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

Stevenage

(Away)
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5
West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0
Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0
Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)