Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rotherham vs West Brom

England England

EFL Cup Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Morgan J.
Assist: Whitwell H.
24' Event
Whitwell H.
46'
Sub
Whitwell H. In: Myhre F.
Out: Whitwell H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rotherham
20%
Draws
60%
West Brom
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: West Brom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and West Brom come out ahead of Rotherham on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on West Brom taking it.
  • West Brom arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Brom, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and West Brom have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 13%
West Brom Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham West Brom
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Rotherham vs West Brom
1:4
Apr 10, 2024 Championship
West Brom vs Rotherham
2:0
Dec 12, 2023 Championship
Rotherham vs West Brom
0:2
Apr 7, 2023 Championship
Rotherham vs West Brom
3:1
Dec 17, 2022 Championship
West Brom vs Rotherham
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

West Brom Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Whitwell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 10 / 100
West Brom 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham West Brom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: West Brom conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Rotherham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rotherham's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS West Brom
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
York City
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Rotherham
08 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 4
West Brom
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
Derby
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

West Brom

(Away)
15 Aug
Norwich
1 : 2
West Brom
08 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 4
West Brom
01 Aug
Peterborough
0 : 2
West Brom
25 Jul
Shrewsbury
1 : 4
West Brom
17 Jul
West Brom
4 : 1
Bromley
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Ipswich -
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Leicester 1
Northampton 0
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Newcastle Utd -
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Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Nottingham -
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Leeds -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
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Everton -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
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1/32-finals
Walsall -
Leyton Orient -
Ipswich -
Leicester -
Cardiff -
Norwich -
Stevenage -
Reading -
Cambridge Utd -
Millwall -
Birmingham -
Brentford -
Southampton -
West Ham -
Watford -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
AFC Wimbledon -
Plymouth -
Coventry -
Chelsea -
Luton -
Tottenham -
Charlton -
Newcastle Utd -
West Brom -
Blackburn -
Sheffield Utd -
Nottingham -
Leeds -
Doncaster -
Middlesbrough -
Barnsley -
Crewe -
Preston -
Everton -
Stoke City -
Hull City -
Sheffield Wed -
Wolves -
Blackpool -
Lincoln City -
Fleetwood Town -
Shrewsbury -
Bradford City -
Burnley -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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