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Rotherham vs West Brom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Cup Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Morgan J.
Assist: Whitwell H.
24' Event
Whitwell H.
46'
Sub
Whitwell H. In: Myhre F.
Out: Whitwell H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rotherham
30%
Draws
37%
West Brom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: West Brom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and West Brom come out ahead of Rotherham on wins alone.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • West Brom arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor West Brom, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and West Brom have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 19%
West Brom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham West Brom
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Rotherham vs West Brom
1:4
Apr 10, 2024 Championship
West Brom vs Rotherham
2:0
Dec 12, 2023 Championship
Rotherham vs West Brom
0:2
Apr 7, 2023 Championship
Rotherham vs West Brom
3:1
Dec 17, 2022 Championship
West Brom vs Rotherham
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

West Brom Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgan J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Whitwell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 32 / 100
West Brom 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham West Brom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Rotherham found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

West Brom let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Rotherham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS West Brom
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

West Brom

(Away)
20 Sept
Wolves
1 : 0
West Brom
12 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
QPR
09 Sept
Derby
0 : 1
West Brom
05 Sept
West Brom
1 : 0
Watford
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1
Charlton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -