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Rotherham vs York City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Aesseal New York Stadium, Rotherham
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Otoo E.
Assist: Spence K.
30'
Sub
Johnson Z. In: Fallowfield R.
Out: Johnson Z.
40' Event
Newby A.
Assist: Boyes H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rotherham
15%
Draws
39%
York City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotherham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • York City have won more games recently than Rotherham.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 16%
York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotherham York City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy
York City vs Rotherham
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Rotherham vs York City
1:1
Oct 8, 2013 EFL Trophy
York City vs Rotherham
0:3
Feb 26, 2013 League Two
Rotherham vs York City
1:1
Oct 6, 2012 League Two
York City vs Rotherham
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotherham Compare

Top Goalscorer Otoo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotherham 31 / 100
York City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotherham York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotherham scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

York City has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Rotherham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rotherham VS York City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotherham

(Home)
06 Oct
Rotherham
0 : 4
Bradford City
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0
Rotherham
26 Sept
Rotherham
1 : 1
Crewe
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

York City

(Away)
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)