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Rotlet Molinar vs Llosetense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Riveron S.
51' Event
Nicolau T.
56' Event
Bonnin M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Llosetense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Rotlet Molinar
20%
Draws
57%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Llosetense lately — more wins on the board than Rotlet Molinar.
  • Llosetense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Llosetense here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotlet Molinar Llosetense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Llosetense
1:4
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Rotlet Molinar
3:0
Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Llosetense
0:2
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Rotlet Molinar
3:0
Mar 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Llosetense
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveron S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nicolau T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotlet Molinar 10 / 100
Llosetense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotlet Molinar Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Rotlet Molinar scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Llosetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Rotlet Molinar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rotlet Molinar VS Llosetense
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotlet Molinar

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

Llosetense

(Away)
03 Oct
Llosetense
3 : 1
Arenal
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)