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Rotlet Molinar vs Son Veri

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rotlet Molinar are looking tough to beat at the moment. They average 1.2 expected goals (xG) per game and will likely dictate the tempo. Both back lines have been leakier than usual lately, which points to an open game with chances for both sides. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Our model gives the edge to Rotlet Molinar with a 68% win probability.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Rotlet Molinar
15%
Draws
17%
Son Veri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rotlet Molinar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Rotlet Molinar picked up more points recently compared to Son Veri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 17%
Son Veri Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotlet Molinar Son Veri
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 26
Goals Scored 1.17 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.94 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

01.05.22 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Son Veri
1:0
29.12.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Veri vs Rotlet Molinar
0:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Rotlet Molinar

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Son Veri

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.72

Son Veri Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
10 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
8 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 1

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Son Veri • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Rotlet Molinar • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Son Veri • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Rotlet Molinar • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotlet Molinar 65 / 100
Son Veri 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotlet Molinar Son Veri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotlet Molinar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Rotlet Molinar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.6%
1.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Rotlet Molinar will likely press early to force mistakes.

Rotlet Molinar 59%
Son Veri 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Son Veri should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Rotlet Molinar 54%
Son Veri 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Rotlet Molinar 51%
Son Veri 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Rotlet Molinar to push more players wide.

Rotlet Molinar 56%
Son Veri 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Rotlet Molinar 51%
Son Veri 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Rotlet Molinar 62%
Son Veri 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rotlet Molinar attacking → ← attacking Son Veri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar have scored in 87% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Son Veri concede most goals (47%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 24 shots per game, well above the league median.

Rotlet Molinar are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

Son Veri have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Rotlet Molinar wants a European spot, while Son Veri is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 8
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2