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Rotonda vs Gelbison - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Bubas N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Rotonda and Gelbison finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rotonda
15%
Draws
59%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gelbison come out ahead of Rotonda on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rotonda taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 17%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rotonda Gelbison
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Gelbison
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gelbison vs Rotonda
0:1
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Rotonda
1:0
Feb 10, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rotonda vs Gelbison
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rotonda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Bubas N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rotonda 36 / 100
Gelbison 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rotonda Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotonda scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Gelbison conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Rotonda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gelbison
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rotonda

(Home)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

Gelbison

(Away)
07 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 3
Gelbison
04 Oct
Gelbison
0 : 1
US Venafro
27 Sept
Paganese
2 : 3
Gelbison
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
Gelbison
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)