Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Actis Goretta G.
16'
16'
Samake B.
24'
24'
Diop M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 game between Rotonda and Roccella finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Rotonda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rotonda a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 19%
Roccella Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rotonda | Roccella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rotonda vs Roccella
3:3
Mar 14, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Rotonda
1:2
Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Rotonda vs Roccella
2:0
Dec 9, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Rotonda
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rotonda Compare
Top Goalscorer Actis Goretta G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diop M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Roccella Compare
Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Iacono A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rotonda 85 / 100
Roccella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rotonda Roccella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rotonda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Roccella has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Rotonda found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Roccella lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rotonda VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rotonda
(Home) 05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0 Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1 Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0 Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1 Gelbison
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1 Fidelis Andria
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1 Gelbison
24 Mar
Rotonda
3 : 0 Bitonto
10 Mar
Rotonda
1 : 1 Gallipoli
25 Feb
Rotonda
2 : 3 Paganese
Page 1 of 4
Roccella
(Away) 03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1 Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1 Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0 Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1 Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1 AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1 Roccella
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0 Roccella
19 May
Rotonda
3 : 3 Roccella
09 May
Cittanovese
2 : 1 Roccella
14 Apr
Marina di Ragusa
3 : 2 Roccella
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACR Messina | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 66:25 | 74 |
| 2 | FC Messina | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 59:25 | 72 |
| 3 | Gelbison | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 54:32 | 66 |
| 4 | San Luca | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 46:38 | 58 |
| 5 | AS Acireale | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:32 | 57 |
| 6 | Dattilo | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 51:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Rotonda | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 31:33 | 49 |
| 8 | Santa Maria Cilento | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:29 | 45 |
| 9 | Biancavilla | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 43:47 | 45 |
| 10 | Licata | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Castrovillari | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 39:37 | 41 |
| 12 | Paterno | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 28:35 | 39 |
| 13 | Cittanovese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:51 | 39 |
| 14 | S. Agata | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:48 | 36 |
| 15 | Troina | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:47 | 36 |
| 16 | Rende | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 38:58 | 34 |
| 17 | Marina di Ragusa | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:58 | 33 |
| 18 | Roccella | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 25:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
