Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rouen vs Caen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Labonne R.
Assist: Hafid M.
46'
Sub
Faye S. In: Fuss V.
Out: Faye S.
46'
Sub
Renel S. In: Rocha Santos K.
Out: Renel S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rouen
44%
Draws
20%
Caen
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Caen haven't matched Rouen's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rouen Clean Sheet 13%
Caen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Caen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 12 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Caen
1:1
Oct 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Caen vs Rouen
1:1
Jul 9, 2013 Club Friendly
Caen vs Rouen
0:0
May 12, 2004 Ligue 2
Rouen vs Caen
1:2
Dec 7, 2003 Ligue 2
Caen vs Rouen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha Santos K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Caen Compare

Top Goalscorer Labonne R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 35 / 100
Caen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Caen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Caen conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Rouen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Caen
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen

(Home)
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Caen

(Away)
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Caen
3 : 4
Paris 13 Atletico
09 Jul
Rennes
1 : 2
Caen
15 May
Aubagne FC
3 : 1
Caen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)