Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rouen vs Laval

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mandouki C.
Assist: Houdayer M.
21'
Bane S.
30'
Bezzekhami O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rouen
44%
Draws
20%
Laval
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Rouen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Rouen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rouen, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Rouen Clean Sheet 21%
Laval Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Laval
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Rouen
1:0
May 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Rouen vs Laval
1:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
1:1
Jul 16, 2011 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
3:1
Dec 15, 2007 Coupe de France
Rouen vs Laval
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandouki C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 37 / 100
Laval 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Laval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rouen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Laval let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rouen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Laval
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen

(Home)
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
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Laval

(Away)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
18 Jul
Caen
4 : 2
Laval
15 Jul
Laval
5 : 0
Quevilly
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Laval2
Rouen1