Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rouen vs Laval

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mandouki C.
Assist: Houdayer M.
21'
Bane S.
30'
Bezzekhami O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Rouen
30%
Draws
12%
Laval
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Rouen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rouen a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Rouen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rouen, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%
Laval Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen Laval
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Laval vs Rouen
1:0
May 19, 2026 Ligue 2
Rouen vs Laval
1:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
1:1
Jul 16, 2011 Club Friendly
Laval vs Rouen
3:1
Dec 15, 2007 Coupe de France
Rouen vs Laval
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rouen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Laval Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandouki C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen 95 / 100
Laval 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen Laval

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laval let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Rouen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Rouen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rouen VS Laval
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen

(Home)
24 Sept
Caen
3 : 2
Rouen
19 Sept
Rouen
1 : 0
Aubagne FC
12 Sept
Thionville
0 : 4
Rouen
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

Laval

(Away)
18 Sept
Laval
1 : 1
Sochaux
11 Sept
Dijon
3 : 2
Laval
04 Sept
Laval
1 : 2
Red Star
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
22 Aug
Metz
1 : 1
Laval
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Laval 2
Rouen 1