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Rouen W vs Gonfreville W

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Division 2 Women 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2011/2012 game between Rouen W and Gonfreville W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Rouen W
30%
Draws
31%
Gonfreville W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rouen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rouen W come out ahead of Gonfreville W on wins alone.
  • Rouen W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 2 Women 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rouen W Clean Sheet 18%
Gonfreville W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rouen W Gonfreville W
Matches Played 37 22
Wins 7 4
Draws 13 3
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.51 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Rouen W vs Gonfreville W
1:1
Nov 27, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Gonfreville W vs Rouen W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rouen W 67 / 100
Gonfreville W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rouen W Gonfreville W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rouen W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gonfreville W conceded in 82% of 22 recent games.

Rouen W scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Rouen W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rouen W VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rouen W

(Home)
20 May
Issy W
2 : 0
Rouen W
13 May
Rouen W
2 : 1
Saint-Malo W
29 Apr
Saint-Maur W
3 : 0
Rouen W
22 Apr
Le Mans W
0 : 0
Rouen W
08 Apr
Rouen W
2 : 2
Arras W
Page 1 of 8

Gonfreville W

(Away)
27 May
Metz W
4 : 1
Gonfreville W
20 May
Gonfreville W
0 : 3
Mars Bischheim W
22 Apr
Gonfreville W
3 : 2
Amiens W
15 Apr
Rouen W
1 : 1
Gonfreville W
01 Apr
Bagneux W
2 : 0
Gonfreville W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arras W 22 17 2 3 59:18 75
2 Le Mans W 22 17 1 4 62:24 74
3 Gravelines W 22 13 6 3 52:18 67
4 Compiegne Club Oise W 22 13 2 7 47:31 63
5 Dijon W 22 8 3 11 34:33 49
6 Amiens W 22 8 2 12 36:43 48
7 Mars Bischheim W 22 8 2 12 36:48 48
8 Rouen W 22 7 4 11 26:41 47
9 Cormelles W 22 6 6 10 56:60 46
10 Metz W 22 6 5 11 18:40 45
11 Bagneux W 22 4 6 12 21:50 40
12 Gonfreville W 22 4 3 15 13:54 37
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Issy W 22 16 1 5 64:29 71
2 La Roche W 22 14 5 3 67:29 69
3 Orvault W 22 14 2 6 52:26 66
4 Montigny-le-Bretonneux W 22 14 1 7 69:27 65
5 Bordeaux W 22 11 4 7 42:25 59
6 Angers W 22 11 3 8 45:42 58
7 Conde-sur-Noireau W 22 10 4 8 45:36 56
8 F.A.S Herblay W 22 9 2 11 45:35 48
9 ES des Trois Cites Poitiers W 22 5 7 10 23:42 44
10 USC Corne W 22 5 5 12 19:46 42
11 Tours W 22 3 6 13 24:61 37
12 Rennes W 22 0 0 22 15:112 19
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 19 2 1 89:20 81
2 Albi-Marssac W 22 15 4 3 56:23 71
3 Monteux W 22 12 6 4 56:20 64
4 Grenoble W 22 11 8 3 54:30 63
5 Nimes W 22 11 5 6 41:33 60
6 Le Puy W 22 10 4 8 46:29 56
7 Veore Montoison W 22 10 3 9 42:47 55
8 Aurillac W 22 9 4 9 49:56 53
9 US Blanzy Foot W 22 5 3 14 34:62 40
10 Macon W 22 4 3 15 33:56 37
11 Chatenoy W 22 2 2 18 25:80 30
12 ES Saint-Simon Toulouse W 22 1 2 19 19:88 24
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2012/2013 (Main)