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Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ejjaki Y.
13' Event
Martic M.
24' Event
Ejjaki Y.

AI Match Summary

Chievo in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Rovato Vertovese
30%
Draws
52%
Chievo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Chievo have won more games recently than Rovato Vertovese.
  • Chievo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 10%
Chievo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Chievo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo
3:4
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Chievo vs Rovato Vertovese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejjaki Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carbone A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 14 / 100
Chievo 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Chievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Rovato Vertovese scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Chievo has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Rovato Vertovese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Chievo
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rovato Vertovese

(Home)
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4
Chievo
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Chievo

(Away)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)