Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rovato Vertovese vs Lentigione - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Gauli N.
71' Event
Messedaglia E.
71' Event
Battistello A.

AI Match Summary

Rovato Vertovese in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rovato Vertovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Rovato Vertovese
35%
Draws
45%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Rovato Vertovese haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Rovato Vertovese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 12%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Lentigione
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Rovato Vertovese vs Lentigione
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Rovato Vertovese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messedaglia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Battistello A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 35 / 100
Lentigione 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rovato Vertovese found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Lentigione has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Rovato Vertovese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Lentigione
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rovato Vertovese

(Home)
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4
Chievo
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)