Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rovato Vertovese vs Lentigione

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Gauli N.
71' Event
Messedaglia E.
71' Event
Battistello A.

AI Match Summary

Rovato Vertovese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rovato Vertovese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rovato Vertovese
20%
Draws
38%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rovato Vertovese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Rovato Vertovese haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rovato Vertovese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 20%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Lentigione
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Rovato Vertovese vs Lentigione
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Rovato Vertovese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messedaglia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Battistello A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 42 / 100
Lentigione 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rovato Vertovese found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rovato Vertovese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lentigione's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Lentigione
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rovato Vertovese

(Home)
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
02 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 7

Lentigione

(Away)
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2
Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)