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Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Belotti C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Rovato Vertovese and Real Calepina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rovato Vertovese
35%
Draws
37%
Real Calepina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Calepina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Real Calepina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rovato Vertovese a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 68%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rovato Vertovese Real Calepina
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Rovato Vertovese vs Real Calepina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rovato Vertovese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Belotti C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rovato Vertovese 50 / 100
Real Calepina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rovato Vertovese Real Calepina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rovato Vertovese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rovato Vertovese scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Real Calepina let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Rovato Vertovese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Real Calepina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Rovato Vertovese VS Real Calepina
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rovato Vertovese

(Home)
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4
Chievo
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Real Calepina

(Away)
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)