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ROW Rybnik vs Brzeg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mandrysz P.
25' Event
Rogowski I.
34' Event
Swietlicki D.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between ROW Rybnik and Brzeg finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ROW Rybnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
ROW Rybnik
20%
Draws
22%
Brzeg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ROW Rybnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ROW Rybnik come out ahead of Brzeg on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans ROW Rybnik's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
ROW Rybnik Clean Sheet 14%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ROW Rybnik Brzeg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group III
ROW Rybnik vs Brzeg
4:3
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
ROW Rybnik vs Brzeg
1:2
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik
1:2
Aug 15, 2020 III Liga - Group III
ROW Rybnik vs Brzeg
0:2
Apr 18, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs ROW Rybnik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ROW Rybnik Compare

Top Goalscorer Mandrysz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rogowski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Garwol K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaczmar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ROW Rybnik 39 / 100
Brzeg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ROW Rybnik Brzeg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROW Rybnik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ROW Rybnik's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Brzeg has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

ROW Rybnik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ROW Rybnik VS Brzeg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ROW Rybnik

(Home)
03 Oct
Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 : 1
ROW Rybnik
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
0 : 0
ROW Rybnik
12 Sept
ROW Rybnik
2 : 2
Zaglebie II
05 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
3 : 2
ROW Rybnik
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Brzeg

(Away)
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)