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Royal Excel Mouscron vs Sottegem

Belgium Belgium

Belgium Third Division Group A 2008/2009 Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron
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AI Match Summary

The Belgium Third Division Group A 2008/2009 game between Royal Excel Mouscron and Sottegem finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Royal Excel Mouscron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Royal Excel Mouscron
15%
Draws
57%
Sottegem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sottegem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Royal Excel Mouscron carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sottegem taking it.
  • Regular Belgium Third Division Group A 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Royal Excel Mouscron have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 13%
Sottegem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royal Excel Mouscron Sottegem
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2009 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Sottegem
3:0
Sep 27, 2008 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Sottegem vs Royal Excel Mouscron
5:0
May 11, 2008 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Sottegem
3:2
Sep 1, 2007 Second Amateur Division Group VFV A
Sottegem vs Royal Excel Mouscron
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
Sottegem 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royal Excel Mouscron Sottegem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sottegem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Royal Excel Mouscron scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Sottegem let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Sottegem's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Royal Excel Mouscron VS Sottegem
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Home)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
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Sottegem

(Away)
13 Aug
Sottegem
2 : 3
Montignies
06 Aug
Kosova Schaerbeek
0 : 1
Sottegem
29 Jul
Avanti
1 : 0
Sottegem
10 Aug
Sottegem
5 : 0
Ronse
30 Jul
Sottegem
0 : 1
Melsele
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Wetteren 30 19 7 4 68:30 64
2 Woluwe Zaventem 30 18 6 6 46:22 60
3 Francs Borains 30 16 7 7 62:31 55
4 Diegem 30 15 9 6 43:27 54
5 UR La Louviere Centre 30 13 6 11 56:45 45
6 Sottegem 30 13 6 11 35:30 45
7 Oudenaarde 30 13 6 11 43:40 45
8 Rac. Waregem 30 12 9 9 40:37 45
9 Sint Niklaas 30 13 4 13 55:44 43
10 Bruxelles 30 11 6 13 44:45 39
11 Aalst 30 10 8 12 38:50 38
12 Royale Union SG 30 8 9 13 39:43 33
13 RAA Louvieroise 30 8 4 18 36:61 28
14 Wielsbeke 30 7 6 17 40:58 27
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 6 17 27:83 27
16 KRC Gent 30 7 1 22 39:65 22
Promotion - EXQI League 2009/2010 (Main)