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Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Angiulli M.
15' Event
Vaesen K.
(Penalty)
16' Event
De Cuyper M.
Assist: Vaesen K.

AI Match Summary

The 1B Pro League 2021/2022 game between Royal Excel Mouscron and Westerlo finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Royal Excel Mouscron
15%
Draws
59%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Westerlo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Westerlo taking it.
  • Regular 1B Pro League 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Westerlo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 20%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Royal Excel Mouscron Westerlo
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo
2:6
Feb 12, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Westerlo vs Royal Excel Mouscron
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Westerlo vs Royal Excel Mouscron
4:3
Sep 26, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo
1:2
Dec 20, 2016 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Westerlo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Royal Excel Mouscron Compare

Top Goalscorer Chevalier T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duplus F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cuyper M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daci E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
Westerlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Royal Excel Mouscron Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Royal Excel Mouscron's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Westerlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Royal Excel Mouscron went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Westerlo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Home)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
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Westerlo

(Away)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
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