Sport Picks

Belgium

Belgian Cup 2018/2019

Etincelle Maurage

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Royal Leopold play Etincelle Maurage in the Belgian Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Royal Leopold averaged 2 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Etincelle Maurage averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Royal Leopold won 1, Etincelle Maurage won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 29, 2018 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Royal Leopold and 1.44 for Etincelle Maurage. This points to a Etincelle Maurage double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Royal Leopold

40%

Draws

30%

Etincelle Maurage

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Etincelle Maurage

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Royal Leopold picked up more points recently compared to Etincelle Maurage.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Royal Leopold Clean Sheet 16%

Etincelle Maurage Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Royal Leopold	Etincelle Maurage
Matches Played	11	1
Wins	5	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	6	1
Goals Scored	2	0
Goals Conceded	1.91	2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2018 Belgian Cup

Royal Leopold vs Etincelle Maurage

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Royal Leopold 30 / 100

Etincelle Maurage 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Royal Leopold Etincelle Maurage

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etincelle Maurage or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Royal Leopold attacking → ← attacking Etincelle Maurage

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Royal Leopold scored in 100% of their last 11 games.

Etincelle Maurage let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Royal Leopold went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Etincelle Maurage lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 0

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00