Sport Picks
Royale Union SG vs Waregem
Belgium
Belgian Cup Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ujka S.
Assist: Tanghe A.
63'
63'
Sub
Gavriel S. In: Opoku J.
Out: Gavriel S.
63'
63'
Sub
Paugain W. In: Nyssen B.
Out: Paugain W.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waregem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Waregem haven't matched Royale Union SG's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Royale Union SG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Royale Union SG, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- History favors Royale Union SG here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Royale Union SG Clean Sheet 68%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Royale Union SG | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 20, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Waregem
2:0
Dec 3, 2025 Belgian Cup
Royale Union SG vs Waregem
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Royale Union SG
1:4
Feb 5, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Royale Union SG vs Waregem
4:0
Sep 4, 2022 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Royale Union SG
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Royale Union SG Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez K.
1 Goals Assists Leader David P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Waregem Compare
Top Goalscorer Ujka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Royale Union SG 41 / 100
Waregem 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Royale Union SG Waregem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ROY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Royale Union SG scored in 84% of their last 37 outings.
Defensive concern: Waregem conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Royale Union SG has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Royale Union SG VS Waregem
3 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Royale Union SG
(Home) 11 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2 Royale Union SG
08 Aug
Westerlo
1 : 5 Royale Union SG
04 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
31 Jul
Club Brugge
1 : 2 Royale Union SG
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Lille
Page 1 of 8
04 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 3 Bodo/Glimt
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Lille
24 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0 Patro Eisden
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1 Aarhus
05 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0 FCSB
Page 1 of 4
Waregem
(Away) 09 Aug
Waregem
2 : 1 Genk
01 Aug
Beerschot VA
2 : 3 Waregem
25 Jul
Waregem
3 : 2 Sparta Rotterdam
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
11 Jul
Waregem
2 : 1 Kryvbas
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Beerschot VA
2 : 3 Waregem
04 Jul
Zelzate
1 : 2 Waregem
03 Jul
Oudenaarde
0 : 3 Waregem
27 Jun
Rac. Waregem
0 : 6 Waregem
01 May
Cercle Brugge
2 : 3 Waregem
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
RFC Liege 0
Charleroi 1
KV Mechelen 2
Lierse SK 1
RFC Seraing 1
Leuven 3
Club Brugge 6
Eendracht Aalst 1
Dender 4
OC Charleroi 2
SK Beveren 1
St. Liege 2
Tubize-Braine 0
Royale Union SG 3
Belisia Bilzen 1
Waregem 4
Genk 3
RWDM Brussels 0
Ninove 0
Anderlecht 2
Cercle Brugge 1
Kortrijk 0
Gent 5
Patro Eisden 0
Antwerp 3
Eupen 1
Knokke 0
St. Truiden 1
Beerschot VA 3
Westerlo 2
Heist 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
1/8-finals
Charleroi 2
KV Mechelen 0
Leuven 1
Club Brugge 2
Dender 3
St. Liege 2
Royale Union SG 2
Waregem 1
Genk 1
Anderlecht 3
Cercle Brugge 1
Gent 3
Antwerp 4
St. Truiden 3
Beerschot VA 1
RAAL La Louviere 2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi 2
Club Brugge 0
Dender 0
Royale Union SG 2
Anderlecht 1
Gent 0
Antwerp 2
RAAL La Louviere 1
Semi-finals
Charleroi 1
Royale Union SG 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 1
Final
Royale Union SG 3
Anderlecht 1
