Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Roye vs APM Metz

France France

Coupe de France 2016/2017
Roye Logo

Roye

Sat, Nov 12, 2016
2 - 1
05:00 PM
APM Metz Logo

APM Metz

Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Bouvet A.
90' Event
Charpentier M.
117' Event
Bouvet A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Roye advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Roye
20%
Draws
44%
APM Metz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: APM Metz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roye come out ahead of APM Metz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Roye have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Roye, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Roye Clean Sheet 10%
APM Metz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Roye APM Metz
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 6 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.84 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2016 Coupe de France
Roye vs APM Metz
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Roye Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouvet A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.92

APM Metz Compare

Top Goalscorer Charpentier M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Roye 29 / 100
APM Metz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Roye APM Metz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

APM Metz has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Roye found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Roye stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Roye VS APM Metz
1.88 Goals Scored 1.8
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Roye

(Home)
03 Dec
Sainte-Genevieve
1 : 0
Roye
12 Nov
Roye
2 : 1
APM Metz
04 Jun
Aubervilliers
2 : 2
Roye
28 May
Roye
1 : 1
Arras
14 May
PSG II
5 : 2
Roye
Page 1 of 6

APM Metz

(Away)
22 Jul
Progres Niedercorn
2 : 5
APM Metz
29 Nov
APM Metz
0 : 2
Feignies-Aulnoye
15 Nov
APM Metz
3 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
18 Nov
Sarre Union
1 : 0
APM Metz
12 Nov
Roye
2 : 1
APM Metz
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montagnarde 2
Guipavas 1
AC Plouzane 1
Granville 2
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
APM Metz 1
Roye 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint Jean Dardiere 3
Savigneux Montbrison 1
Haguenau 1
Besancon FC 4
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Moulins-Yzeure 0
Le Geldar 1
Selongey 3
Frontignan AC 1
Pezenas 0
ES Parisienne 0
Borgo 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Pau 7
Magenta 1
Golden Lion 0
Tarbes 1
Stade Briochin 3
Stade Pontivyen 1
Stade Poitevin 1
Chateauroux 4
Dijon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Andrezieux 4
Football Club de Chaumont 1
Sezanne 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Clermont 6
Ytrac 0
Saint Priest 1
FC Rhone Vallees 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourg Peronnas 1
Thiers 0
Le Cendre 1
Pontarlier 2
Sochaux 0
Miserieux Trevoux 0
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 3
Saint-Nicolas 0
Dahlenheim 2
Kaysersberg 3
Maubeuge 3
Steenvoorde 2
Homecourt CS 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Longueau 3
Claye Souilly 2
Saint-Omer 2
IC Croix 3
Troyes 2
Sarrebourg 0
Rousset Ste Victoire 0
Saint-Marcellin 2
Cluses Scionzier 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Sernin du Bois 1
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Erneenne 2
Alencon 5
Bonchamp 1
Chauny 0
JA Drancy 4
Istres 3
Nimes 2
Mtsapere 2
Rodez 3
Hyeres 2
Vaulx 0
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 0
Athletico Marseille 2
Les Herbiers 2
Orleans 1
Niort St Florent 0
Limoges 6
Ales 2
De Volvic 1
Bords de Saone 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
Le Havre 3
Grand Quevilly 0
Vitre 1
St. Colomban Locmine 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Biarritz JA 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 1
Senart-Moissy 1
Les Sables 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Sarreguemines 3
Bischheim Soleil 2
Etaples 0
Valenciennes 2
Villeneuve Metropole 2
Boulogne 0
St Maximin 0
Reims 3
Blagnac 2
Beziers 1
Pavillais 0
Red Star 3
Genets 2
Liguaire Niort 0
Stade Montois 1
Niort 2
Strasbourg 2
Oberlauterbach 0
FC Kronenbourg Strasbourg 0
Sarre Union 4
Sedan 2
Compiegne 1
Erstein 0
Epinal 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
SU Dives 0
Phare du Canal 0
Belfort 4
Saumur Olympique 3
Tours 2
Le Mee sur Seine 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 4
Fleury-Merogis 3
Moulien 0
Macon 1
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Pontivy 4
TA Rennes 2
ASPTT Brest 0
Brest 3
Laval 2
Concarneau 1
Challans 0
Cholet 1
Vannes 1
Ploufragan 0
AS Dragon 0
Avranches 9
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mulhouse 3
US Matoury 0
Avoine 1
Excelsior 2
Blois Foot 41 3
Romorantin 2
Vertou 0
La Guerche Drouges 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Lens 3
Olympique Marcquois 0
Saint-Amand 1
Wasquehal 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Rodeo 1
Palavas 0
Champigny FC 1
Pouzauges Reaumur 4
Balma 3
Luc Primaube 0
Pantaleon 0
Bergerac 1
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Chambly 2
Amiens SC 0
Beauvais 0
Le Mans 2
Jarville 2
Ornain 0
Franciscain 0
Luneville 1
AC Ajaccio 4
AS Aixe sur Vienne 1
Avion 0
Le Portel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
1/64-finals
Angers -
TBD -
Montagnarde 0
Granville 3
Sainte-Genevieve 1
Roye 0
TBD -
Caen -
Nancy -
TBD -
Saint Jean Dardiere 0
Besancon FC 1
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Selongey 0
Frontignan AC 0
Borgo 2
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Pau 1
Tarbes 0
Stade Briochin 0
Chateauroux 1
Dijon -
TBD -
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Clermont 5
FC Rhone Vallees 0
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Frejus Saint Raphael 4
Le Cendre 0
Pontarlier 0
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 9
Kaysersberg 0
Maubeuge 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
St Etienne -
TBD -
Longueau 0
IC Croix 7
Troyes 2
Saint-Marcellin 0
Cluses Scionzier 1
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 3
Erneenne 0
Alencon 1
JA Drancy 2
Istres 1
Rodez 0
Hyeres 0
Athletico Marseille 1
Les Herbiers 1
Limoges 0
Ales 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Le Havre 4
St. Colomban Locmine 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Biarritz JA 3
Les Sables 2
TBD -
Rennes -
Sarreguemines 2
Valenciennes 1
Villeneuve Metropole 0
Reims 7
Blagnac 1
Red Star 0
Genets 0
Niort 1
Strasbourg 1
Sarre Union 0
Sedan 0
Epinal 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Belfort 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Fleury-Merogis 3
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontivy 0
Brest 3
Laval 1
Cholet 0
Vannes 1
Avranches 2
Lille -
TBD -
Mulhouse 1
Excelsior 2
Blois Foot 41 3
La Guerche Drouges 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Lens 2
Wasquehal 0
TBD -
Metz -
Rodeo 1
Pouzauges Reaumur 0
Balma 0
Bergerac 3
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Chambly 2
Le Mans 0
Jarville 1
Luneville 3
AC Ajaccio 1
Le Portel 0
TBD -
Monaco -
1/32-finals
Angers 2
Granville 1
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Caen 3
Nancy 3
Besancon FC 0
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Borgo 1
Lorient 2
Nice 1
Pau 1
Chateauroux 4
Dijon 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Clermont 0
Bordeaux 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Grenoble 1
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Prix les Mezieres 2
St Etienne 4
IC Croix 1
Troyes 2
Auxerre 4
Quevilly 3
JA Drancy 2
Istres 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Les Herbiers 4
GFC Ajaccio 3
Le Havre 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 7
Bastia 0
Biarritz JA 0
Rennes 6
Sarreguemines 2
Reims 1
Blagnac 0
Niort 1
Strasbourg 4
Epinal 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Fleury-Merogis 2
Brest 0
Laval 1
Avranches 3
Lille 4
Excelsior 1
Blois Foot 41 1
Nantes 2
Lens 2
Metz 0
Rodeo 2
Bergerac 3
Marseille 2
Toulouse 1
Montpellier 0
Lyon 5
Chambly 2
Luneville 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Monaco 2
1/16-finals
Angers 3
Caen 1
Nancy 0
Borgo 2
Lorient 3
Chateauroux 2
Dijon 1
Bordeaux 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
St Etienne 0
Auxerre 3
Quevilly 3
Athletico Marseille 0
Les Herbiers 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 4
Rennes 0
Sarreguemines 0
Niort 3
Strasbourg 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Fleury-Merogis 0
Avranches 1
Lille 1
Nantes 0
Lens 0
Bergerac 2
Marseille 2
Lyon 1
Chambly 4
Monaco 5
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Borgo 0
Lorient 1
Bordeaux 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Auxerre 0
Quevilly 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Niort 0
Strasbourg 1
Avranches 2
Lille 2
Bergerac 1
Marseille 3
Monaco 4
Quarter-finals
Angers 2
Bordeaux 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Guingamp 1
PSG 4
Avranches 0
Lille 1
Monaco 2
Semi-finals
Angers 2
Guingamp 0
PSG 5
Monaco 0
Final
Angers 0
PSG 1