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Rozova Dolina vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2015/2016 game between Rozova Dolina and Chernomorets Burgas Sofia finished 9-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rozova Dolina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Rozova Dolina
30%
Draws
23%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rozova Dolina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rozova Dolina come out ahead of Chernomorets Burgas Sofia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Rozova Dolina's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 12%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rozova Dolina Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 1.61 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
9:2
Oct 17, 2015 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Rozova Dolina
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rozova Dolina 74 / 100
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rozova Dolina Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rozova Dolina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chernomorets Burgas Sofia let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Rozova Dolina scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Rozova Dolina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rozova Dolina VS Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rozova Dolina

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 3
Rozova Dolina
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
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Chernomorets Burgas Sofia

(Away)
08 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
13 Jul
Gorna
1 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
09 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 0
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
28 Jun
Dobrudzha
3 : 1
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
20 Jul
Sozopol
0 : 2
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 34 29 3 2 88:20 90
2 Rozova Dolina 34 24 4 6 81:30 76
3 Zagorets 33 22 6 5 64:20 72
4 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 20 4 10 93:45 64
5 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 8 8 61:38 62
6 Gigant Saedinenie 34 18 4 12 67:58 58
7 Svilengrad 1921 33 17 5 11 72:53 56
8 Asenovets 34 15 8 11 57:46 53
9 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 14 9 11 45:29 51
10 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 69:74 46
11 Karnobat 34 13 4 17 56:56 43
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 12 6 16 36:38 42
13 Levski Karlovo 34 11 2 21 43:75 35
14 Rakovski 2011 34 10 4 20 45:68 34
15 Borislav Parvomay 34 6 11 17 34:59 29
16 Radnevo 34 8 3 23 32:84 27
17 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 34 6 4 24 42:100 22
18 Sliven 34 3 1 30 20:112 10
Promotion - Vtora liga 2016/2017 (Main)