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RSC Internacional vs CD Mostoles

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Aparicio E.
48' Event
Aparicio E.
58' Event
Aparicio E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with RSC Internacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
RSC Internacional
30%
Draws
51%
CD Mostoles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • RSC Internacional carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • RSC Internacional have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor RSC Internacional, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors RSC Internacional here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
RSC Internacional Clean Sheet 22%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSC Internacional CD Mostoles
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 19 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 2.4 1.35
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSC Internacional vs CD Mostoles
4:0
Apr 30, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs RSC Internacional
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs RSC Internacional
0:1
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSC Internacional vs CD Mostoles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSC Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Aparicio E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Aguado L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Mostoles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSC Internacional 32 / 100
CD Mostoles 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSC Internacional CD Mostoles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSC Internacional's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Mostoles let in goals in 84% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

RSC Internacional went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Mostoles
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RSC Internacional

(Home)
09 Aug
RSC Internacional
0 : 1
Gimnastica Segoviana
20 May
RSC Internacional
1 : 1
Getafe B
14 May
Getafe B
1 : 0
RSC Internacional
07 May
RSC Internacional
4 : 0
CD Mostoles
30 Apr
CD Mostoles
2 : 1
RSC Internacional
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CD Mostoles

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
RSC Internacional 5
CD Mostoles 2
Getafe B 3
Paracuellos Antamira 3
Final
RSC Internacional 1
Getafe B 2