Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RSD Alcala vs Guadalajara

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Sanchez B.
62' Event
Lopez D.
67' Event
Caropitche S. M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
RSD Alcala
15%
Draws
21%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Guadalajara.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on RSD Alcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala
2:1
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly
RSD Alcala vs Guadalajara
2:2
Feb 6, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
RSD Alcala vs Guadalajara
0:0
Sep 22, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala
1:3
Apr 18, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Guadalajara vs RSD Alcala
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RSD Alcala Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Caropitche S. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 85 / 100
Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guadalajara conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

RSD Alcala found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

RSD Alcala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS Guadalajara
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1
Real Avila
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Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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