Sport Picks
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Vallecano B
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Alburquerque A.
44'
44'
Kone L.
88'
88'
Blanco A.
AI Match Summary
RSD Alcala in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RSD Alcala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
15%
12%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Vallecano B.
- Model gives RSD Alcala a 73% chance of winning this.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RSD Alcala | Rayo Vallecano B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:0
Nov 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Vallecano B vs RSD Alcala
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs RSD Alcala
1:2
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RSD Alcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Alburquerque A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Rayo Vallecano B Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RSD Alcala 85 / 100
Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RSD Alcala Rayo Vallecano B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
RSD Alcala's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rayo Vallecano B conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Difficult form: Rayo Vallecano B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
RSD Alcala VS Rayo Vallecano B
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
RSD Alcala
(Home) 04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
19 Aug
RSD Alcala
1 : 1 Gimnastica Segoviana
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Rayo Vallecano B
(Away) 04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2 Rayo Vallecano B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano B
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
14 Aug
Getafe B
4 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
