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RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RSD Alcala host Real Madrid C in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: RSD Alcala at 1.45 goals for, 1.1 against; Real Madrid C at 0.96 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor RSD Alcala slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.88, favoring RSD Alcala. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
RSD Alcala
20%
Draws
36%
Real Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RSD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Real Madrid C.
  • RSD Alcala are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 20%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RSD Alcala Real Madrid C
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs RSD Alcala
2:2
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid C
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid C
1:2
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs RSD Alcala
1:0
Apr 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Real Madrid C
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RSD Alcala 49 / 100
Real Madrid C 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RSD Alcala Real Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RSD Alcala scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Real Madrid C let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

RSD Alcala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RSD Alcala VS Real Madrid C
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RSD Alcala

(Home)
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2
Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0
CF Talavera
Page 1 of 6

Real Madrid C

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
13 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
14 Guadalajara 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)