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RTU vs BFC Daugavpils

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1. Liga 2017
RTU Logo

RTU

0 - 2
FT
BFC Daugavpils Logo

BFC Daugavpils

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

BFC Daugavpils in this 1. Liga 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFC Daugavpils.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
RTU
30%
Draws
47%
BFC Daugavpils
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: BFC Daugavpils

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • RTU average 3.13 goals a game right now, well clear of BFC Daugavpils's 1.88.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors BFC Daugavpils here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
RTU Clean Sheet 20%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RTU BFC Daugavpils
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 3.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2018 1. Liga
RTU vs BFC Daugavpils
0:1
Jun 2, 2018 1. Liga
BFC Daugavpils vs RTU
1:5
Aug 13, 2017 1. Liga
RTU vs BFC Daugavpils
0:2
Jul 29, 2017 1. Liga
BFC Daugavpils vs RTU
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RTU 32 / 100
BFC Daugavpils 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RTU BFC Daugavpils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Daugavpils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RTU's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: BFC Daugavpils conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.

BFC Daugavpils's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS BFC Daugavpils
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RTU

(Home)
13 May
RTU
0 : 3
JFC Viola
27 Jun
RTU
1 : 2
JFC Viola
23 Jul
Dobele Allegro
3 : 2
RTU
21 Oct
RTU
2 : 2
Grobina
13 Oct
Super Nova
3 : 0
RTU
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BFC Daugavpils

(Away)
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 22 18 4 0 75:21 58
2 AFA Olaine 22 15 3 4 47:14 48
3 BFC Daugavpils 22 15 2 5 58:14 47
4 Grobina 22 14 2 6 62:41 44
5 Tukums 2000 22 10 3 9 36:39 33
6 Alberts JDFS 22 8 4 10 23:32 28
7 Rezekne 22 8 4 10 40:47 28
8 FK Smiltene 22 7 5 10 28:48 26
9 RTU 22 8 0 14 42:52 24
10 FK Auda Riga 22 6 5 11 36:45 23
11 Preilu BJSS 22 4 2 16 26:67 14
12 Bebri 22 1 2 19 14:67 5
13 Jekabpils SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Ogre 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2018 (Main)
Promotion - SynotTip Virslīga 2017 (Relegation)