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Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Rubin Kazan Logo

Rubin Kazan

1 - 1
FT
Akhmat Grozny Logo

Akhmat Grozny

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Siwe J.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Pryakhin S. In: Shchetinin K.
Out: Pryakhin S.
56' Event
Cacintura E.
Assist: Konate M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rubin Kazan and Akhmat Grozny finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rubin Kazan
35%
Draws
23%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rubin Kazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Akhmat Grozny's 1.36 goals per match outpaces what Rubin Kazan have produced (1.21).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Rubin Kazan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 68%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Oct 22, 2025 Russian Cup
Rubin Kazan vs Akhmat Grozny
4:3
Aug 26, 2025 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Rubin Kazan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Kazan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacintura E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan 59 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rubin Kazan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Kazan scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Rubin Kazan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Akhmat Grozny conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Kazan VS Akhmat Grozny
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Kazan

(Home)
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2
Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)