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Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar

Russia Russia

Premier League Ak Bars Arena, Kazan
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Daku M.
Assist: Staver E.
18'
Rozhkov I.
45'
Krivtsov N.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Rubin Kazan and Krasnodar finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Krasnodar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Rubin Kazan
28%
Draws
50%
Krasnodar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Krasnodar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Krasnodar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Krasnodar a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 10%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan Krasnodar
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan
1:0
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Kazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Daku M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Krasnodar Compare

Top Goalscorer Boselli J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krivtsov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan 22 / 100
Krasnodar 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan Krasnodar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Kazan scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Krasnodar let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Rubin Kazan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Kazan VS Krasnodar
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Kazan

(Home)
26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3
Krasnodar
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
3 : 1
Rubin Kazan
18 Jul
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 3
Rubin Kazan
11 Jul
Rubin Kazan
2 : 0
Krylya Sovetov Samara
08 Jul
Spartak Moscow
0 : 0
Rubin Kazan
Page 1 of 6

Krasnodar

(Away)
26 Jul
Rubin Kazan
1 : 3
Krasnodar
19 Jul
Krasnodar
1 : 1
Baltika
11 Jul
Krasnodar
3 : 3
FK Rostov
03 Jul
Krasnodar
4 : 0
FDC Vista
25 Jun
Krasnodar
5 : 1
FC PSK Dinskoy rayon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg11005:03
2Spartak Moscow11003:03
3Krasnodar11003:13
4Orenburg11002:13
5CSKA Moscow11002:13
6Dynamo Makhachkala11002:13
7Lokomotiv Moscow10101:11
8Akhmat Grozny10101:11
9Dynamo Moscow10100:01
10Krylya Sovetov Samara10100:01
11Baltika10011:20
12FK Rostov10011:20
13Fakel Voronezh10011:20
14Rubin Kazan10011:30
15Rodina Moscow10010:30
16Akron Togliatti10010:50
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)