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Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Daku M.
30'
Sub
Shabanhaxhaj D. In: Kuznetsov D.
Out: Shabanhaxhaj D.
30'

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Rubin Kazan and Orenburg finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rubin Kazan
33%
Draws
27%
Orenburg
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rubin Kazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Both Rubin Kazan and Orenburg exhibit evenly balanced form metrics in recent matches.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Rubin Kazan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 20%
Orenburg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan Orenburg
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Orenburg
0:0
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan
1:0
Sep 16, 2025 Russian Cup
Orenburg vs Rubin Kazan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Kazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Daku M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Orenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolotov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Golybin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan 40 / 100
Orenburg 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan Orenburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Kazan scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Orenburg let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Rubin Kazan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orenburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Kazan VS Orenburg
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%