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Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Ak Bars Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rubin Kazan play Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Premier League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rubin Kazan averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Pari Nizhny Novgorod averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Rubin Kazan won 2, Pari Nizhny Novgorod won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Rubin Kazan and 1.31 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod. This points to a Rubin Kazan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Rubin Kazan
31%
Draws
27%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Rubin Kazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rubin Kazan picked up more points recently compared to Pari Nizhny Novgorod.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Rubin Kazan Clean Sheet 18%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Kazan Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Matches Played 27 24
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rubin Kazan
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:0
Jul 22, 2024 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Rubin Kazan
2:4
Mar 9, 2024 Premier League
Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Kazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezrukov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pari Nizhny Novgorod Compare

Top Goalscorer Grulev V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Kazan 41 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Kazan Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rubin Kazan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rubin Kazan attacking → ← attacking Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Kazan scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Rubin Kazan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 27
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022