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Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rubin Yalta play Nart Cherkessk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rubin Yalta averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Rubin Yalta won 2, Nart Cherkessk won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Rubin Yalta and 1.06 for Nart Cherkessk. This points to a Nart Cherkessk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Rubin Yalta
16%
Draws
50%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta picked up more points recently compared to Nart Cherkessk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 22%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
2:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
0:3
Jun 18, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarnov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ositsin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 35 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Nart Cherkessk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nart Cherkessk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rubin Yalta attacking → ← attacking Nart Cherkessk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Nart Cherkessk let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Rubin Yalta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nart Cherkessk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 57
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88