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Stadium Background

Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ositsin A.
23' Event
Panamarev N.
Penalty Missed
63' Event
Tarnov G.

AI Match Summary

Nart Cherkessk in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nart Cherkessk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Rubin Yalta
15%
Draws
34%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rubin Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nart Cherkessk have won more games recently than Rubin Yalta.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 19%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
2:0
May 3, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Nart Cherkessk
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Rubin Yalta
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarnov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ositsin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Panaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 32 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Nart Cherkessk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Rubin Yalta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Nart Cherkessk registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Yalta VS Nart Cherkessk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Yalta

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
15 Aug
Rubin Yalta
2 : 1
Izberbash
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Nart Cherkessk

(Away)
19 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
3 : 0
Angust Nazran
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
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