Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubin Yalta vs Zarya Lugansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dzanelidze B.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Purak V.
90' Event
Polyakh D.

AI Match Summary

Rubin Yalta in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rubin Yalta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rubin Yalta
15%
Draws
45%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarya Lugansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta have won more games recently than Zarya Lugansk.
  • Zarya Lugansk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 15%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 28 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Zarya Lugansk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Purak V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Polyakh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 10 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Zarya Lugansk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarya Lugansk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Zarya Lugansk conceded in 67% of 24 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rubin Yalta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Yalta VS Zarya Lugansk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubin Yalta

(Home)
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
15 Aug
Rubin Yalta
2 : 1
Izberbash
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Zarya Lugansk

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
22 Aug
FK Pobeda
3 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
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