Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rubin Yalta vs Zarya Lugansk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dzanelidze B.
(Penalty)
61' Event
Purak V.
90' Event
Polyakh D.

AI Match Summary

Rubin Yalta in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rubin Yalta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Rubin Yalta
30%
Draws
34%
Zarya Lugansk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rubin Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubin Yalta have won more games recently than Zarya Lugansk.
  • Rubin Yalta are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 20%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubin Yalta Zarya Lugansk
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Zarya Lugansk
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rubin Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Purak V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Polyakh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubin Yalta 36 / 100
Zarya Lugansk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubin Yalta Zarya Lugansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rubin Yalta found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Zarya Lugansk conceded in 73% of 15 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rubin Yalta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rubin Yalta VS Zarya Lugansk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%