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Rubio Nu vs Guarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Rubio Nu have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Guarani's 0.97 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Rubio Nu have won 2 to Guarani's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.31, favoring Guarani. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Rubio Nu
30%
Draws
51%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Rubio Nu haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guarani a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Guarani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 18%
Guarani Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rubio Nu Guarani
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
2:3
Apr 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:2
Feb 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
4:0
Nov 12, 2017 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Sep 1, 2017 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Guarani
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rubio Nu 23 / 100
Guarani 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rubio Nu Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Rubio Nu found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Guarani conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Rubio Nu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rubio Nu VS Guarani
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rubio Nu

(Home)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Guarani

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)